Tradesports had the UFC fight favoring Lesnar: 52-48. That is, pay 52 to win 100 with Lesnar, as opposed to paying 48 to win 100 with Couture.
Sherdog polled 34 actual MMA fighters, and they picked
Couture: 28 to 6.
Lesnar won by TKO in the second, and won the first round on all three judges cards.
And thus alpha is made. For football picks vs. the spread I would survey the "conventional wisdom" among my colleagues at work and then pick the opposite. I was tempted to actually start betting because it worked really well over the season, I won 2 of 3 years I played.
Nice pick by the way.
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