Sunday, November 16, 2008

Experts vs. Markets in Ultimate Fighting

Brock Lesnar vs. Randy Couture
Tradesports had the UFC fight favoring Lesnar: 52-48. That is, pay 52 to win 100 with Lesnar, as opposed to paying 48 to win 100 with Couture.

Sherdog polled 34 actual MMA fighters, and they picked Couture: 28 to 6.

Lesnar won by TKO in the second, and won the first round on all three judges cards.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

And thus alpha is made. For football picks vs. the spread I would survey the "conventional wisdom" among my colleagues at work and then pick the opposite. I was tempted to actually start betting because it worked really well over the season, I won 2 of 3 years I played.

Nice pick by the way.