Forensic Risk Management

Sometimes, when a catastrophic system failure happens, a reconstruction of the risks is rather unnecessary. For example, with the most unsurprising headline in major newspapers, World Oldest Person Dies, we see a case of mystery and intrigue:

LOS ANGELES - Gertrude Baines, who lived to be the world's oldest person on a steady diet of crispy bacon, fried chicken and ice cream, died Friday at a nursing home. She was 115.

The centenarian likely suffered a heart attack, said her longtime physician, Dr. Charles Witt. An autopsy was scheduled to determine the cause of death.

An autopsy? Here's a guess: she's 115 years old!